Scoring

Every round, each miner's calibrated parameters are re-simulated against the held-out measurement window. The result is a single composite score that feeds a deterministic weight-setting pipeline.

Summary

  • CVRMSE (weight 0.50) — Coefficient of Variation of RMSE, ASHRAE Guideline 14 standard. Acceptance threshold < 0.30.
  • NMBE (weight 0.25) — Normalized Mean Bias Error, penalizes systematic drift. Acceptance |NMBE| < 0.10.
  • (weight 0.15) — Coefficient of determination, overall fit quality. Acceptance > 0.85.
  • Convergence (weight 0.10) — Simulations used relative to the 1,000-evaluation budget. Bounded, self-reported.
  • Weight pipeline — score floor at 0.05 × max(composite), power-law amplification with p=2, normalized to sum=1. All math in float64. All hashing in SHA-256 (never Python hash()).

Canonical source